Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
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Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
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Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
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Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Adrian Mannarino		Rinky Hijikata

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.63	Watch
	2.34	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.37	1.6	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.12)	1.61 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
40.8%

Rinky Hijikata
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Rinky Hijikata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adrian Mannarino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rinky Hijikata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Adrian Mannarino - Rinky Hijikata Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Hijikata will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hijikata: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Hijikata (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Hijikata (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 38 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rinky Hijikata will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hijikata (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 68. Hijikata is ranked ATP: 115.

Recent form of Mannarino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hijikata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mannarino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hijikata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mannarino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Auckland
11.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.26	Marin Cilic - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Andrey Rublev - Adrian Mannarino	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?LLL
- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Adelaide
14.01.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
07.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rinky Hijikata	Hijikata R. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
03.02.25	Rinky Hijikata - Adrian Mannarino	2:0
ATP Newport
19.07.23	Rinky Hijikata - Adrian Mannarino	0:2

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