Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:05	ESPN
Belgium	01:05	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:05	HBO Max
Brazil	21:05	ESPN
Bulgaria	02:05	HBO Max
Canada	19:05	RDS App
Colombia	19:05	ESPN
Croatia	01:05	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:05	HBO Max
Denmark	01:05	HBO Max
Finland	02:05	HBO Max
France	01:05	HBO Max
Hungary	01:05	HBO Max
Mexico	18:05	ESPN
Moldova	02:05	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:05	HBO Max
Morocco	01:05	2M National
Netherlands	01:05	HBO Max
New Zealand	13:05	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	01:05	HBO Max
Norway	01:05	HBO Max
Peru	19:05	ESPN
Poland	01:05	HBO Max
Romania	02:05	HBO Max
Serbia	01:05	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:05	HBO Max
Spain	01:05	HBO Max
Sweden	01:05	HBO Max
United Kingdom	00:05	Discovery+
Usa	19:05	ESPN USA
Venezuela	20:05	ESPN


	Rinky Hijikata		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.22)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rinky Hijikata
37.3%

Valentin Vacherot
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	0%	95%

Rinky Hijikata - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Vacherot (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 38.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (38 of 40 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.25% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Vacherot will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 27 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Hijikata is ranked ATP: 114. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 31.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vacherot may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vacherot could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hijikata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rinky Hijikata
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Adrian Mannarino - Rinky Hijikata	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
14.01.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
07.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Rinky Hijikata - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Martin Damm - Valentin Vacherot	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
15.01.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Valentin Vacherot	Vacherot V. walkover ✺
12.01.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Valentin Vacherot - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.07.21	Rinky Hijikata - Valentin Vacherot	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Basel
30.10.26	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Valentin Vacherot	✺

Rinky Hijikata - Valentin Vacherot