Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Shuai Zhang		Himeno Sakatsume

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.84
	1.92	1.84	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.57)	2.55 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shuai Zhang
62.5%

Himeno Sakatsume
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shuai Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Himeno Sakatsume has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shuai Zhang than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Shuai Zhang - Himeno Sakatsume Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sakatsume will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhang is ranked WTA: 73. Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 131.

Zhang is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sakatsume has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zhang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zhang might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Himeno Sakatsume - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.15%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shuai Zhang
WTA Roma
05.05.26	Ann Li - Shuai Zhang	2:1 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Madison Keys - Shuai Zhang	Canceled ✺
22.04.26	Shuai Zhang - Eva Lys	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Shuai Zhang - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Linz
08.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 L?WLL
- Himeno Sakatsume
ITF Tournaments
09.05.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Katarina Zavatska - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Lucie Nguyen Tan - Himeno Sakatsume	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Yaroslava Bartashevich - Himeno Sakatsume	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Hayu Kinoshita - Himeno Sakatsume	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

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