Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Final

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Simona Waltert		Paula Badosa

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.36
	2.8	1.38
	3.32	1.37
	3.05	1.34	Watch
	3.25	1.35
	2.99	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Simona Waltert
30.9%

Paula Badosa
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Paula Badosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Simona Waltert - Paula Badosa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Badosa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Paula Badosa will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Waltert is ranked WTA: 90. Badosa is ranked WTA: 141.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, Badosa is the team to beat.

We predict that Badosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Simona Waltert
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Simona Waltert - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Simona Waltert - Aneta Laboutkova	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Simona Waltert - Katarzyna Kawa	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Paula Badosa
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Yulia Putintseva - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Paula Badosa - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Emiliana Arango - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.26	Emma Navarro - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches