Match Info

Date: 11 July 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.7	1.47
	2.5	1.49
	2.68	1.53
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.33)	1.49 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
36.2%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stanislas Wawrinka's performance.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Carreno-Busta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stanislas Wawrinka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Carreno-Busta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.9%	0%	35.1%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 37 - 64.9%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 20 - 35.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 52.5% – 77.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wawrinka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wawrinka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wawrinka won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Jannik Sinner - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
22.06.22	Rafael Nadal - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.22	Tommy Paul - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
14.06.22	Francis Tiafoe - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.22	Stanislas Wawrinka - Corentin Moutet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWL
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Carreno-Busta P. retired ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Antoine Bellier	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
17.06.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Nick Kyrgios	0:2 ✺
15.06.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
13.06.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?LLWW

Latest Head to Head

Abu Dhabi Exhibition
28.12.17	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Canceled
ATP Indian Wells
18.03.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2
ATP Geneva
19.05.16	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0
ATP Estoril
04.05.13	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2

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