Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: CINCINNATI (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	11:15	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	03:15	SportKlub
Brazil	22:15	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	04:15	Max Sport 1
Croatia	03:15	SportKlub
Finland	04:15	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Germany	03:15	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	02:15	Sport TV2
Serbia	03:15	SportKlub
Slovenia	03:15	SportKlub
Sweden	03:15	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	04:15	Setanta Sports


	Francis Tiafoe		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.53	2.5
	1.51	2.54
	1.56	2.6
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.59	Watch
	1.53	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	2.56 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
62.7%

Stanislas Wawrinka
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Francis Tiafoe - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tiafoe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wawrinka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wawrinka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tiafoe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.23	Francis Tiafoe - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Milos Raonic - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
04.08.23	Daniel Evans - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
04.08.23	Juncheng Shang - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
01.08.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Umag
30.07.23	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Stanislas Wawrinka - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
14.06.22	Francis Tiafoe - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2
ATP Acapulco
24.02.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Francis Tiafoe	2:1
ATP Basel
24.10.19	Francis Tiafoe - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2

Francis Tiafoe - Stanislas Wawrinka