Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby (Canada), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Greene J. (Can)


	Stefan Kozlov		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.05	Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.69	2.12	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)	2.11 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
55.7%

Nicolas Mejia
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Kozlov's performance.

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Mejia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefan Kozlov - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Mejia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mejia: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kozlov in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mejia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mejia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Kozlov to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kozlov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
15.07.24	Cooper Williams - Stefan Kozlov	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Victor Lilov - Stefan Kozlov	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Stefan Kozlov - Nishesh Basavareddy	Kozlov S. retired ✺
05.07.24	Jeffrey John Wolf - Stefan Kozlov	0:2 ✺
03.07.24	Stefan Kozlov - Tung-Lin Wu	Kozlov S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WW?W?
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
11.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
09.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aidan Mayo	2:0
08.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
02.07.24	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.03.22	Nicolas Mejia - Stefan Kozlov	2:0

Stefan Kozlov - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide