Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg (Canada), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Muhlberger A. (Ger)


	Nicolas Mejia		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.16	1.71
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.18)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Mejia
42.6%

Sho Shimabukuro
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Nicolas Mejia - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: Sho Shimabukuro will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shimabukuro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shimabukuro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aidan Mayo	2:0
08.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Nicolas Mejia - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
02.07.24	Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLWLL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Illya Marchenko - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Sho Shimabukuro - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Jozef Kovalik - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Sho Shimabukuro	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWW?

Nicolas Mejia - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide