Match Info

Date: 9 April 2021, Friday


	Stefanie Voegele		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.43	1.57	Watch
	2.31	1.57
	2.48	1.61
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.49	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.19)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanie Voegele
39.7%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanie Voegele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanie Voegele than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefanie Voegele, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Stefanie Voegele - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Voegele will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osorio Serrano: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Voegele is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Osorio Serrano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Voegele could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osorio Serrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanie Voegele
WTA Bogota
07.04.21	Saisai Zheng - Stefanie Voegele	0:2 ✺
05.04.21	Stefanie Voegele - Chloe Paquet	2:1 ✺
WTA St Petersburg
16.03.21	Stefanie Voegele - Tereza Martincova	1:2 ✺
WTA Lyon
04.03.21	Stefanie Voegele - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
02.03.21	Stefanie Voegele - Irina Maria Bara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLW
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Bogota
08.04.21	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Tereza Martincova	2:0 ✺
06.04.21	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Sachia Vickery	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
16.03.21	Kaja Juvan - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Harriet Dart - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
13.03.21	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Xiyu Wang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

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