Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Stefano Napolitano		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.10	1.65
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.24	1.71
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.17	1.70
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2.10	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.09)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
43.4%

Stefano Travaglia
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stefano Napolitano - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 229. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 147.

Napolitano has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Travaglia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Napolitano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Napolitano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.72%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Henry Bernet - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Stefano Napolitano - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Zsombor Piros - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?LLL?
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Harry Wendelken - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Stefano Travaglia - Nicolas Kicker	Travaglia S. Retired ✺
04.08.26	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Daniel Vallejo - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.04.23	Stefano Travaglia - Stefano Napolitano	1:2
22.09.18	Stefano Napolitano - Stefano Travaglia	2:1
26.04.17	Stefano Napolitano - Stefano Travaglia	0:2
11.04.17	Stefano Travaglia - Stefano Napolitano	1:2

Stefano Napolitano - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide