Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Harold Mayot		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	2.23	1.58
	2.36	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.87)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
42.2%

Aslan Karatsev
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harold Mayot's form might have worsened.

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aslan Karatsev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harold Mayot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mayot is ranked ATP: 132. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 195.

Two players are playing changeable.

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Harold Mayot - Borna Coric	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Harold Mayot - Jesper De Jong	De Jong J. walkover ✺
20.03.25	Harold Mayot - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Harold Mayot - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 L?WWL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Federico Cina - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide