Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2 (Greece), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2025, Friday


	Chris Rodesch		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.4	Watch
	2.72	1.5
	2.59	1.49	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.61	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chris Rodesch
35.1%

Aslan Karatsev
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chris Rodesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chris Rodesch than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Chris Rodesch - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rodesch will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Karatsev will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodesch: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodesch is ranked ATP: 264. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 207.

Recent matches Rodesch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Karatsev is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Karatsev will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Karatsev to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chris Rodesch
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Kasidit Samrej	Samrej K. retired ✺
11.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Stuart Parker	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Chris Rodesch - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
19.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Chris Rodesch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?WLWL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Adria Soriano Barrera - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Aslan Karatsev - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Dino Prizmic - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Chris Rodesch - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide