Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Matej Dodig		Henri Squire

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.92	1.98
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.89	1.93	Watch
	1.83	1.85	Watch
	1.80	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
50.8%

Henri Squire
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henri Squire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Matej Dodig - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: Henri Squire will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 208. Squire is ranked ATP: 235.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Raul Brancaccio - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Michele Ribecai - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
06.07.26	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Matej Dodig - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Henri Squire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Henri Squire - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Keegan Smith - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
29.06.26	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW

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