Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Matej Dodig		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.00	1.38
	3.35	1.40
	3.26	1.32	Watch
	3.15	1.37	Watch
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.95	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.85)	1.38 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
30.7%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Carreno-Busta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.7%	93.3%

Matej Dodig - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 208. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 71.

Dodig is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carreno Busta has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carreno Busta is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Matej Dodig - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Matej Dodig - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Raul Brancaccio - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Michele Ribecai - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
06.07.26	Sumit Nagal - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
29.06.26	Denis Shapovalov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.26	Rafael Jodar - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:2 ✺
29.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:3 ✺
27.05.26	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Kokkinakis T. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 L?LW?

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