Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 PALMANOVA 2 (SPAIN), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Stefano Travaglia		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.28	3.2
	1.28	3.3
	1.3	3.4
	1.33	3.25
	1.21	3.94	Watch
	1.28	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	3.4 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
72.6%

Max Houkes
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Travaglia's performance.

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Houkes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Travaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Houkes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stefano Travaglia - Max Houkes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Travaglia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Houkes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Travaglia is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ITF Tournaments
25.03.23	Hernan Casanova - Stefano Travaglia	Casanova H. retired ✺
24.03.23	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
23.03.23	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
22.03.23	Benjamin Winter Lopez - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Maxime Chazal - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 ?WWWL
- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
25.03.23	Max Houkes - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Max Houkes - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Max Houkes - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Max Houkes - Joan Nadal	2:0 ✺
15.03.23	Max Houkes - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

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