Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Stefano Travaglia		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.74	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	2 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
53.5%

Tiago Pereira
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefano Travaglia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiago Pereira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefano Travaglia - Tiago Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Travaglia (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 50%). Pereira (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 233. Pereira is ranked ATP: 288.

Recent form of Travaglia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Pereira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Oleg Prihodko - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Alex Molcan - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Stefano Travaglia - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Tiago Pereira
ATP Challenger
06.08.25	Tiago Pereira - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Tiago Pereira - Antoine Escoffier	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Maxwell McKennon - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Tiago Pereira - Kenny De Schepper	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLW?

Stefano Travaglia - Tiago Pereira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide