Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday


	Stefano Travaglia		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.28	1.63	Watch
	2.22	1.61
	2.31	1.68
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.34	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
41.6%

Tommy Paul
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	0%	52.9%

Stefano Travaglia - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Paul will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Travaglia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paul will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Travaglia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Geneva
18.05.21	Stefano Travaglia - Marco Cecchinato	Travaglia S. retired ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.21	Denis Shapovalov - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
10.05.21	Stefano Travaglia - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
02.05.21	Stefano Travaglia - Pablo Andujar-Alba	1:2 ✺
01.05.21	Stefano Travaglia - Carlos Gimeno Valero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Lyon
20.05.21	Tommy Paul - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
18.05.21	Tommy Paul - Jo-Wilfried Tsonga	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
09.05.21	Tommy Paul - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
08.05.21	Tommy Paul - Juan Ignacio Londero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Astana
26.10.20	Tommy Paul - Stefano Travaglia	2:0

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