Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Margaret Court Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	07:45	Eurosport 2
Denmark	07:45	Eurosport 2
Finland	08:45	Eurosport 2
France	07:45	Eurosport 2
Germany	07:45	Eurosport 2
Hungary	07:45	Eurosport 2
Italy	07:45	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	07:45	Eurosport 2
Norway	07:45	Eurosport 2
Poland	07:45	Eurosport 2
Portugal	06:45	Eurosport 2
Russia	09:45	Eurosport 2
Sweden	07:45	Eurosport 2
Turkey	09:45	Eurosport 2
International	06:45	Eurosport 2


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.1	1.75
	2.1	1.74
	2.19	1.76
	2	1.8
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.11	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)	1.76 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
45.8%

Tommy Paul
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 28 - 36.8%). Paul will win (votes: 48 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 52.4% – 74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Paul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Australian Open
21.01.23	Andy Murray - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:3 ✺
19.01.23	Brandon Holt - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:3 ✺
18.01.23	Joao Sousa - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide 2
14.01.23	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
13.01.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Australian Open
20.01.23	Tommy Paul - Jenson Brooksby	3:0 ✺
18.01.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
16.01.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide 2
10.01.23	Tommy Paul - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
09.01.23	Tommy Paul - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
01.11.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul	0:2
ATP Toronto
11.08.21	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2
ATP Roma
11.05.21	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Tommy Paul