Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Stefanos Sakellaridis		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.75
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.56	Watch
	1.41	2.95
	1.40	2.73	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	2.75 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Sakellaridis
66.1%

Yuta Shimizu
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-2%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 134., and Shimizu is ranked ATP: 393..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Sakellaridis may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Sakellaridis for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Sakellaridis - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.05%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Yuta Shimizu - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.95%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Norbert Gombos - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Laslo Djere - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Mili Poljicak - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Yuta Shimizu - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Arthur Weber - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Aditya Vishal Balsekar - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW

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