Match Info

EXHIBITION - MEN: UTS Championship, clay

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7


	Andrey Rublev		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	X	2
	1.73		2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)		2.11 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
54.9%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 16. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 49.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 3.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Tsitsipas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Rublev won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Andrey Rublev - Gabriel Diallo	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
19.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	0:2
Exhibition World Tennis League
21.12.24	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:0
Exhibition World Tennis Championship
18.12.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	2:1
ATP World Tour Finals
18.11.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Astana
08.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Madrid
06.05.22	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	0:2

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