The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stefanos Tsitsipas 63.1%
Aslan Karatsev 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.5%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefanos Tsitsipas's form might have worsened.
Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aslan Karatsev's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefanos Tsitsipas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.6%
0%
34.4%
Stefanos Tsitsipas - Aslan Karatsev Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 21 - 65.6%). Karatsev will win (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 49.1% – 82.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Karatsev has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Tsitsipas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Karatsev will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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