Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UNITED CUP (AUSTRALIA) - PLAY OFFS, HARD

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.6	1.56
	2.6	1.56
	2.6	1.5
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.15)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
37.3%

Alexander Zverev
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefanos Tsitsipas's form might have worsened.

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Zverev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefanos Tsitsipas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Zverev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	0%	45.8%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). Zverev will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 3.

Now both players are in good shape.

Zverev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zverev will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Zverev to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP United Cup
03.01.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
03.01.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
01.01.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nicolas Jarry	Canceled ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
16.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
14.11.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Tsitsipas S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W????
- Alexander Zverev
ATP United Cup
01.01.24	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
30.12.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.23	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
02.11.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Roma
14.05.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	2:1
ATP Madrid
07.05.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Monte Carlo
16.04.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
21.08.21	Alexander Zverev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
11.06.21	Alexander Zverev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:3
ATP Acapulco
20.03.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	0:2

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