Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.37	3.01	Watch
	1.42	3.11
	1.39	2.91	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	3.01 ↑ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
68.4%

Christopher OConnell
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Tsitsipas's performance.

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christopher OConnell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Tsitsipas (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 10 - 83.3%). OConnell (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 30. OConnell is ranked ATP: 78.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

OConnell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tsitsipas might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Hopman Cup
19.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Valentin Royer - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas S. retired ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
24.06.25	Francis Tiafoe - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LL??W
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Christopher OConnell - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
21.07.25	Ethan Quinn - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Adrian Mannarino - Christopher OConnell	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	Christopher OConnell - Johannus Monday	1:2 ✺
ATP London
15.06.25	Alex Bolt - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLL

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