Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.94	1.87	Watch
	2.06	1.85
	1.86	1.90	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
49.6%

Fabian Marozsan
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Tsitsipas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fabian Marozsan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	0%	65.2%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Marozsan will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Marozsan (votes: 8 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 29. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 51.

Tsitsipas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marozsan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marozsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Fabian Marozsan - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Hopman Cup
19.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Valentin Royer - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Tsitsipas S. retired ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL??
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Colton Smith - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Flavio Cobolli - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Fabian Marozsan - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Fabian Marozsan - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Fabian Marozsan - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

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