Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: FINALS - TURIN (WORLD), HARD (INDOOR)

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	Eurosport 2


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.49	1.6
	2.49	1.61
	2.38	1.57
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.41	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.89)	1.58 ↓ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
39.6%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefanos Tsitsipas's form might have worsened.

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefanos Tsitsipas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.3%	0%	81.7%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (58 of 71 users predict this - 81.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 90.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Tsitsipas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rune will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP World Tour Finals
12.11.23	Jannik Sinner - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
04.11.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
01.11.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP World Tour Finals
12.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
03.11.23	Novak Djokovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
02.11.23	Daniel Altmaier - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Dominic Thiem - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
28.10.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
23.10.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1

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