Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Sebastian Korda

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.45	Watch
	1.31	3.82
	1.33	3.29	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.34	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	3.43 ↑ (3.11)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
72.3%

Sebastian Korda
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sebastian Korda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Sebastian Korda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Tsitsipas (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Tsitsipas (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 16. Korda is ranked ATP: 24.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Korda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tsitsipas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Jordan Thompson - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.25	Sebastian Korda - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Sebastian Korda
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Sebastian Korda - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Gael Monfils - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sebastian Korda - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.25	Sebastian Korda - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
27.06.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Sebastian Korda	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Sebastian Korda - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2

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