Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Nuno Borges		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.09	1.75
	2.08	1.82
	2.16	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.26)	1.77 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
45.9%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuno Borges's performance.

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuno Borges that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Borges will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tsitsipas (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 51. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 27.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tsitsipas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tsitsipas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borges won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Nuno Borges - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Ignacio Buse - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniel Altmaier	2:3 ✺
26.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2
ATP Roma
14.05.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Nuno Borges	2:0

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