Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Pardubice, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Stepan Baum		Matyas Cerny

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.36
	3.25	1.29
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	2.97	1.38
	2.95	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.07)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stepan Baum
31.1%

Matyas Cerny
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stepan Baum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Matyas Cerny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stepan Baum than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matyas Cerny than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Stepan Baum - Matyas Cerny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baum is ranked ATP: 1303., and Cerny is ranked ATP: 714..

Baum is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cerny has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cerny could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Cerny is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stepan Baum
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Stepan Baum - Jakub Vrtilka	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Sebastian Sorger - Stepan Baum	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	John Sperle - Stepan Baum	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Filip Drab - Stepan Baum	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Stepan Baum - Attila Boros	Boros A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWLW?
- Matyas Cerny
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	David Petrofsky - Matyas Cerny	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Matyas Cerny - Filip Jeff Planinsek	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Johan Nikles - Matyas Cerny	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Matyas Cerny - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Daniel Michalski - Matyas Cerny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWL

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