The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Storm Hunter 44.8%
Joanna Garland 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.8%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Storm Hunter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Storm Hunter's form might have worsened.
Joanna Garland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joanna Garland's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Storm Hunter than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Storm Hunter, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joanna Garland than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joanna Garland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
0%
44.4%
Storm Hunter - Joanna Garland Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hunter will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Garland will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hunter: 23.1% – 88.1%.