Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: WINNIPEG (CANADA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday


	Strong Kirchheimer		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.46	2.6
	1.44	2.62
	1.47	2.54	Watch
	1.46	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)	2.53 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strong Kirchheimer
63.4%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strong Kirchheimer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strong Kirchheimer's performance.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strong Kirchheimer than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strong Kirchheimer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Strong Kirchheimer - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kirchheimer will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Aguilar will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Kirchheimer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aguilar is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kirchheimer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kirchheimer will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Aguilar to win the game is with odds 2.58.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strong Kirchheimer
ATP Challenger
06.08.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Quinn Vandecasteele	1:2 ✺
02.08.23	Tennys Sandgren - Strong Kirchheimer	2:0 ✺
31.07.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Strong Kirchheimer - James Kent Trotter	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Strong Kirchheimer - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
30.07.23	Darian King - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:1 ✺
30.07.23	Felix Corwin - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2 ✺
28.07.23	Jesse Flores - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	1:2 ✺
27.07.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nick Lagaev	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Henrik Wiersholm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW

Strong Kirchheimer - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide