Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lisbon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sumit Nagal		Alejo Sanchez Quilez

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.96	1.80
	1.93	1.77	Watch
	1.99	1.84
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
47.7%

Alejo Sanchez Quilez
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alejo Sanchez Quilez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejo Sanchez Quilez than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejo Sanchez Quilez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sumit Nagal - Alejo Sanchez Quilez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sanchez Quilez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 281., and Sanchez Quilez is ranked ATP: 323..

Nagal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sanchez Quilez is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nagal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Sanchez Quilez in today's match, at odds of 1.79.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Sumit Nagal - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Luka Mikrut - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Sumit Nagal - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Sumit Nagal - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Hyeon Chung - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez
ATP Challenger
19.10.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Kai Wehnelt	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Duarte Lima Sanches	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Zsombor Piros - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Andrej Nedic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW

Sumit Nagal - Alejo Sanchez Quilez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide