Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Alexander Ritschard		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.54	2.58
	1.55	2.37	Watch
			Watch
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.92	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.92)	2.33 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
59.4%

Stefano Travaglia
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Ritschard's performance.

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano Travaglia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Ritschard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano Travaglia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Ritschard will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Ritschard will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ritschard is ranked ATP: 332. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 239.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Max Houkes - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Stefan Latinovic - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Federico Arnaboldi	Arnaboldi F. walkover ✺
06.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Federico Bondioli - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WW?LW

Alexander Ritschard - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide