Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lisbon 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sumit Nagal		Benjamin Hassan

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.60	2.28	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.35
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.35)	2.27 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
59.1%

Benjamin Hassan
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumit Nagal's form might have worsened.

Benjamin Hassan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benjamin Hassan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Hassan than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benjamin Hassan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sumit Nagal - Benjamin Hassan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 281., and Hassan is ranked ATP: 497..

In recent outings, Nagal has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hassan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hassan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nagal holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Nagal has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Sumit Nagal - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
14.10.26	Luka Mikrut - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Sumit Nagal - Henrique Rocha	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Sumit Nagal - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLL
- Benjamin Hassan
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Benjamin Hassan - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:1 ✺
19.10.26	Pedro Rodenas - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
18.10.26	Szymon Kielan - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Benjamin Hassan - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Benjamin Hassan - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Benjamin Hassan - Sumit Nagal	1:2
10.08.23	Sumit Nagal - Benjamin Hassan	0:2
23.05.23	Sumit Nagal - Benjamin Hassan	2:0

Sumit Nagal - Benjamin Hassan