Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 4 August 2025, Monday
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Sumit Nagal |
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Jurij Rodionov |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sumit Nagal 55.3% | Jurij Rodionov 44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sumit Nagal's performance.Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jurij Rodionov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-14.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumit Nagal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jurij Rodionov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sumit Nagal - Jurij Rodionov Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Rodionov will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rodionov (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- H/A, 2nd Set - Rodionov (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Set - Rodionov (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagal (votes: 1 - 20%). Rodionov (votes: 4 - 80%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Nagal is ranked ATP: 307. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 184.Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Sumit Nagal - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;