Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALZBURG (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 July 2023, Monday


	Sumit Nagal		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.6	2.28
	1.65	2.29
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.54	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.46)	2.31 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
59.4%

Lukas Neumayer
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sumit Nagal - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Neumayer will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nagal will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
20.06.23	Sumit Nagal - Leo Borg	2:0 ✺
12.06.23	Zsombor Piros - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Sumit Nagal - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
02.06.23	Oleksii Krutykh - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ITF Tournaments
22.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Christopher Romios	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Damir Dzumhur - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
12.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW

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