Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.24	1.72
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.62)	1.71 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
45.4%

Lukas Neumayer
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Neumayer will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 123. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 195.

Recent performances by Barrios Vera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Neumayer is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Neumayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Neumayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barrios Vera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.14%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Zsombor Piros - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Johannes Ingildsen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLL?
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Lukas Neumayer - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Jack Kennedy - Lukas Neumayer	Neumayer L. Retired ✺
05.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lukas Neumayer - Felix Gill	Gill F. Retired ✺
04.04.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?W?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer	2:1

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