Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Svetlana Kuznetsova		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.68	1.53
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.58	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.55)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Svetlana Kuznetsova
37.2%

Darya Kasatkina
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Svetlana Kuznetsova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Svetlana Kuznetsova than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.5%	0%	77.5%

Svetlana Kuznetsova - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Kuznetsova will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Kasatkina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kuznetsova will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Svetlana Kuznetsova
WTA St Petersburg
19.03.21	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Svetlana Kuznetsova	1:2 ✺
17.03.21	Xin Yu Wang - Svetlana Kuznetsova	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
10.03.21	Svetlana Kuznetsova - Barbora Krejcikova	0:2 ✺
09.03.21	Elina Svitolina - Svetlana Kuznetsova	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Qiang Wang - Svetlana Kuznetsova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA St Petersburg
19.03.21	Darya Kasatkina - Veronika Kudermetova	2:1 ✺
18.03.21	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
16.03.21	Darya Kasatkina - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
07.03.21	Alize Cornet - Darya Kasatkina	2:1 ✺
WTA Melbourne Phillip Island Trophy
18.02.21	Darya Kasatkina - Marie Bouzkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

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