Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Pavel Lagutin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.20	1.57
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.35	1.63
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.56
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.79)	1.56 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
40.6%

Pavel Lagutin
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Takuya Kumasaka's form might have worsened.

Pavel Lagutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Lagutin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Takuya Kumasaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Lagutin than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Lagutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Takuya Kumasaka - Pavel Lagutin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 509. Lagutin is ranked ATP: 768.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kumasaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Robin Bertrand - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Oscar Jose Gutierrez - Takuya Kumasaka	Canceled ✺
07.07.26	Alvaro Jimenez - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Naoya Honda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WL?WL
- Pavel Lagutin
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Pavel Lagutin - Nicolas Tepmahc	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Pavel Lagutin - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Pavel Lagutin - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
28.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pavel Lagutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

Takuya Kumasaka - Pavel Lagutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide