Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 5, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Eliakim Coulibaly		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.12	1.65	Watch
	2.13	1.77
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.12	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eliakim Coulibaly
44.1%

Ryan Peniston
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eliakim Coulibaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eliakim Coulibaly than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Eliakim Coulibaly - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: Eliakim Coulibaly will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Eliakim Coulibaly will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coulibaly is ranked ATP: 305. Peniston is ranked ATP: 224.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Peniston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eliakim Coulibaly
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Maxim Mrva - Eliakim Coulibaly	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Niels Visker - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Ryan Peniston - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Ryan Peniston - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW

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