Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Talia Gibson		Emiliana Arango

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.86	2.05
	1.8	2.02	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.74	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.57)	2.01 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talia Gibson
52.6%

Emiliana Arango
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talia Gibson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talia Gibson's form might have worsened.

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emiliana Arango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talia Gibson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emiliana Arango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Talia Gibson - Emiliana Arango Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gibson will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Arango will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arango: 64.3% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arango (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gibson is ranked WTA: 58. Arango is ranked WTA: 86.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Arango may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Talia Gibson - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talia Gibson
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Talia Gibson - Harriet Dart	Canceled ✺
09.04.26	Talia Gibson - Mika Stojsavljevic	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.26	Elena Rybakina - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Iva Jovic - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Talia Gibson - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ?LLWW
- Emiliana Arango
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
11.04.26	Emiliana Arango - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Victoria Rodriguez - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Emiliana Arango - Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
WTA Bogota
04.04.26	Panna Udvardy - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Emiliana Arango - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLW

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