Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Talia Gibson		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	2.86	1.47
	2.62	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.7	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.8)	1.47 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talia Gibson
35.1%

Naomi Osaka
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talia Gibson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Talia Gibson - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gibson will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gibson (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gibson is ranked WTA: 68. Osaka is ranked WTA: 15.

Now, both players are in good form.

Gibson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gibson won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talia Gibson
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Sara Bejlek - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Talia Gibson	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Linda Noskova - Talia Gibson	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Talia Gibson - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
24.01.26	Naomi Osaka - Maddison Inglis	Inglis M. walkover ✺
22.01.26	Naomi Osaka - Sorana Cirstea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Naomi Osaka - Talia Gibson	2:0

Talia Gibson - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide