Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday


	Pavel Kotov		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.18	1.66	Watch
	2.24	1.7
	2.23	1.69	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pavel Kotov
43.3%

Christopher OConnell
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Pavel Kotov - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Kotov will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). OConnell will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kotov is ranked ATP: 61. OConnell is ranked ATP: 75.

Recent matches Kotov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

OConnell in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's OConnell to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kotov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pavel Kotov
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Zizou Bergs - Pavel Kotov	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.24	Pavel Kotov - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Zachary Svajda - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
12.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Ye Cong Mo	Mo Y. C. retired ✺
10.09.24	Christopher OConnell - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
07.04.23	Christopher OConnell - Pavel Kotov	1:2
ATP Doha
13.02.22	Christopher OConnell - Pavel Kotov	2:0

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