Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Ningbo - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Tatjana Maria		Aliaksandra Sasnovich

	1	2
			Watch
	2.16	1.72
	2.17	1.66	Watch
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.6)	1.62 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
41.8%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tatjana Maria's performance.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aliaksandra Sasnovich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tatjana Maria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aliaksandra Sasnovich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tatjana Maria - Aliaksandra Sasnovich Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 43. Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 114.

Maria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sasnovich is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Maria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sasnovich is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sasnovich will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
ATP Challenger
03.10.25	Viktorija Golubic - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Yulia Putintseva - Tatjana Maria	Maria T. walkover ✺
01.10.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Saisai Zheng - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
24.09.25	Tatjana Maria - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 L?WWL
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing
29.09.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Naomi Osaka - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Janice Tjen	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tatiana Prozorova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
11.01.20	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Tatjana Maria	2:0
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
09.02.19	Tatjana Maria - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2
11.02.18	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Tatjana Maria	Canceled

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