Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.9	1.18
	5.31	1.19
	4.72	1.19	Watch
	4.6	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.42)	1.19 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
19.5%

Marta Kostyuk
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

72.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aliaksandra Sasnovich's form might have worsened.

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aliaksandra Sasnovich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sasnovich will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sasnovich (votes: 2 - 50%). Kostyuk (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 130. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28.

Now, both players are in good form.

Sasnovich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kostyuk is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sasnovich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Naomi Osaka - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Janice Tjen	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tatiana Prozorova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWL
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Ella Seidel - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
19.09.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.25	Marta Kostyuk - Karolina Muchova	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Diane Parry - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guadalajara 2
17.10.22	Marta Kostyuk - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0

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