Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Aliaksandra Sasnovich

	1	2
			Watch
	2.43	1.49
	2.71	1.48
	2.98	1.39	Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.19)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
35.6%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaksandra Sasnovich's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Varvara Lepchenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 147. Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 130.

Lepchenko has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sasnovich is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sasnovich will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.76%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Beijing
22.09.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
06.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Alana Smith	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Alexandra Eala	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Maddison Inglis - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
31.08.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Jessica Hinojosa Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing
21.09.25	Tatiana Prozorova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cleveland
16.08.25	Jessica Failla - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
06.08.25	Whitney Osuigwe - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
26.07.25	Aoi Ito - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA San Diego
10.09.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0
WTA Beijing
30.09.17	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Varvara Lepchenko	1:2

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