Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Tatjana Maria		Laura Samsonova

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.15	1.79
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.11	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.91)	1.79 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tatjana Maria
46.5%

Laura Samsonova
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-3%)

Tatjana Maria - Laura Samsonova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maria is ranked WTA: 54. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 171.

Maria has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Samsonova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Maria will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Tatjana Maria - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tatjana Maria
WTA Rouen
18.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Iryna Shymanovich - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Dominika Salkova - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Tatjana Maria - Elsa Jacquemot	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Tatjana Maria - Marketa Vondrousova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WWWW?
- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
09.04.26	Lisa Pigato - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Laura Samsonova - Elena Pridankina	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Mina Hodzic - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Laura Samsonova - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Laura Samsonova - Valentina Ryser	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Tatjana Maria - Laura Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide