Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Lisa Pigato		Laura Samsonova

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.61
	2.21	1.6	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.27	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lisa Pigato
42.8%

Laura Samsonova
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lisa Pigato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lisa Pigato - Laura Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pigato will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Samsonova will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pigato is ranked WTA: 189. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 176.

Pigato is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Samsonova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pigato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lisa Pigato
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Darja Semenistaja - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Alice Tubello - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW
- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Laura Samsonova - Elena Pridankina	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.03.26	Mina Hodzic - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Laura Samsonova - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Laura Samsonova - Valentina Ryser	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Mia Pohankova - Laura Samsonova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Laura Samsonova - Lisa Pigato	1:2

Lisa Pigato - Laura Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide