Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Mattia Bellucci		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3.20	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.20	1.35
	3.55	1.35
	3.12	1.34	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.31	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.02)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
29.5%

Alexander Bublik
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mattia Bellucci - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 74. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

Bellucci is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bublik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bublik is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.39 are the expected chance of winning is 68.58%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Halle
14.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Mattia Bellucci - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.26	Alexander Bublik - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Alexander Bublik - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.26	Learner Tien - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL

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