Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Taylor Townsend		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.38	1.58
	2.47	1.64
	2.49	1.56	Watch
	2.12	1.72
	2.44	1.58	Watch
	2.39	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Townsend
40.4%

Diana Shnaider
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Townsend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Townsend than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Taylor Townsend - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Townsend will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Shnaider will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Townsend (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Townsend (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Townsend is ranked WTA: 96. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 16.

Townsend has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shnaider is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shnaider could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Shnaider will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Diana Shnaider - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.86%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Townsend
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Taylor Townsend - Taylah Preston	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Maja Chwalinska - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Taylor Townsend - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Taylor Townsend - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
WTA Toronto
07.08.26	Taylor Townsend - Belinda Bencic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Diana Shnaider
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Daria Snigur - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Maja Chwalinska	Interrupted ✺
15.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWL?W

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