Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Karolina Pliskova		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	3.90	1.25
	3.86	1.24
	4.2	1.28
	4.22	1.23	Watch
	4.2	1.25
	3.86	1.28	Watch
	3.85	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (2.74)	1.25 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karolina Pliskova
23.6%

Diana Shnaider
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karolina Pliskova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karolina Pliskova's form might have worsened.

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karolina Pliskova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pliskova will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Shnaider will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shnaider: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pliskova is ranked WTA: 57. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 16.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pliskova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shnaider is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pliskova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Diana Shnaider - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.63%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karolina Pliskova
WTA US Open
30.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Karolina Pliskova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
05.08.26	Mirra Andreeva - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.26	Karolina Pliskova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL
- Diana Shnaider
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Daria Snigur - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Maja Chwalinska	Interrupted ✺
15.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
10.08.26	Diana Shnaider - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider	1:2

Karolina Pliskova - Diana Shnaider: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide